Morrisania Eviction Risk: High , New York

Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 9.6/10. Housing insecurity runs 33.5% against 14.2% nationally. 77% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10. 21% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The poverty rate is 30%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Average gross rent is $1,366, 25% below the New York average. Against Bronx County at 56.0%, 50% of renters here are cost-burdened. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 17.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 877 filings here across 8 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2016, when 20.5% of renter households were served.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.