Morris Heights Eviction Risk: High , New York

The severe-burden share is 33%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 9.6/10.

Food insecurity runs 38.0% against 17.8% nationally. 84% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Set annual rent against average income of $41,125 and the ratio lands at 36%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10. At $1,250 a month, rents run 31% under what the rest of New York commands.

SNAP participation runs 31.6% against 15.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 23%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. The filing record is not thin: 2,241 evictions over 8 years of observation.

Filings peaked in 2000 at 28.2% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Bronx. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.