Morris Heights Eviction Risk: High , New York

SNAP participation runs 51.5% against 15.2% nationally. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10. 32% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 9.6/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10.

Set annual rent against average income of $47,959 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. 71% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

The poverty rate is 29%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. At $1,322 a month, rents run 27% under what the rest of New York commands.

Cost burden runs 65% here against 56.0% across Bronx County. Court records carry 716 eviction filings across 8 observed years. The worst year on record was 2006, when 28.1% of renter households were served.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Bronx. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 19.6% of renter households face a filing.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.