Tremont Eviction Risk: High , New York

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 9.6/10. Set annual rent against average income of $35,313 and the ratio lands at 44%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

SNAP participation runs 34.6% against 15.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 36%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. This is renter territory: 80% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10. At $1,284 a month, rents run 29% under what the rest of New York commands. Against Bronx County at 56.0%, 64% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 18.4% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The filing record is not thin: 2,658 evictions over 8 years of observation.

Filings peaked in 2006 at 30.6% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.