Tremont Eviction Risk: High , New York

SNAP participation runs 40.1% against 15.2% nationally. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10.

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 9.6/10. 92% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Annualized rent equals 40% of average household income of $42,778, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10. The poverty rate is 27%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Against Bronx County at 56.0%, 63% of renters here are cost-burdened. Average gross rent is $1,440, 21% below the New York average. Adults with no health insurance runs 20.2% against 11.3% nationally.

The filing record is not thin: 3,536 evictions over 8 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2002 at 33.2% of renter households.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.