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Neighborhood · Ranked #6,676 of 84,120 nationally

Baychester Eviction Risk: High , New York

Tract 36005031000 · Bronx County, NY · pop 4,572 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Census tract 36005031000 covers part of the Baychester area of New York, NY, and scores 8.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,572 residents. Cost burden runs 29% here against 56.0% across Bronx County.

Risk score
8.2
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 21% Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units1,266
Renter share29.5%
SVI overall0.42
Poverty rate6.9%
Median income$142,671

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 9 tracts In Baychester
High
Within parent city
12 th percentile
Rank, 12th percentileLowHigh
#2,058 of 2,324 tracts In New York
Very Low
Within county
13 th percentile
Rank, 13th percentileLowHigh
#313 of 361 tracts In Bronx County
Very Low
Within state
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#2,473 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across New York and the region

Centroid at 40.8612, -73.8360 · click any tract to drill in

Why Baychester scores 8.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from New York
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.4
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
6.9% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$2,557 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from New York
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New York
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from New York
7.1

How Baychester compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Baychester risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.2This tracttract 0310009.6New Yorkparent city9.3Countyavg tract in county7.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 42

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 61Total filings over 8 yrs
  • 2.60%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.9%Peak (2003)
  • 8Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 36005031000
Filings dropped 27% over the past 8 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Baychester. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Baychester

The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10. Average gross rent is $2,557, 40% above the New York average.

Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 9.6/10. On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.4/10.

15% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. It sits 1.1 points below the Bronx County average of 9.3.

The filing record is not thin: 61 evictions over 8 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2003 at 3.9% of renter households.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Bronx. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 2.6% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #6,676 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.8/10. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $142,671. 29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 36005031000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36005031000?

Census tract 36005031000 in the Baychester neighborhood scores 8.2/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 36005031000?

Median gross rent is $2,557/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 36005031000?

6.9% of residents in tract 36005031000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,572.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 36005031000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 33th, household 51th, minority 78th, housing 37th.
Q5

Is tract 36005031000 considered part of Baychester?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36005031000 fall within Baychester (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 36005031000?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 61 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 36005031000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.60% of renter households, peaking at 3.9% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 36005031000 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 36005031000 compare to New York overall?

Tract 36005031000 scores 8.2/10, lower than the parent city of New York at 9.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New York eviction laws; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 36005031000 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in New York

Top eight tracts in New York ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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