Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #14,316 of 84,120 nationally
Baychester Eviction Risk: Moderate , New York
Tract 36005031000 · Bronx County, NY · pop 4,572 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Here is how census tract 36005031000, in Baychester in New York eviction laws, looks to a landlord: a 6.8/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 4,572. That is riskier than about 92% of US census tracts.
29% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a moderate level, and 15% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,557 a month while the average household earns $142,671 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 29% of occupied homes.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units1,266
Renter share29.5%
SVI overall0.42
Poverty rate6.9%
Median income$142,671
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
10
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
1
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
43
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across New York and the region
Centroid at 40.8612, -73.8360 · click any tract to drill in
Why Baychester scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from New York
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.4
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
6.9% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$2,557 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from New York
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New York
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from New York
7.1
How Baychester compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 42
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 33%Socioeconomic
- 51%Household composition
- 78%Racial/ethnic minority
- 37%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 24%Grade B
- 76%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 61Total filings over 8 yrs
- 2.60%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.9%Peak (2003)
- 8Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 27% over the past 8 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Baychester. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.4%Housing insecurity
- 5.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.5%Food insecurity
- 9.8%SNAP enrollment
- 6.9%Transit barriers
- 7.8%No health insurance
- 11.6%Frequent mental distress
- 28.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Baychester
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from New York eviction laws, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Bronx County average of 7.8 and above the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 13.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 36005031000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36005031000?
Census tract 36005031000 in the Baychester neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36005031000?
Median gross rent is $2,557/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36005031000?
6.9% of residents in tract 36005031000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,572.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36005031000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 33th, household 51th, minority 78th, housing 37th.
Q5
Is tract 36005031000 considered part of Baychester?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36005031000 fall within Baychester (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 36005031000?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 61 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 36005031000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.60% of renter households, peaking at 3.9% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 36005031000 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 36005031000 compare to New York overall?
Tract 36005031000 scores 5.8/10, lower than the parent city of New York at 9.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New York eviction laws; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 36005031000 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in New York
Top eight tracts in New York ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NY
Mott Haven
9.6
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
Mott Haven
9.6
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
Morrisania
9.6
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
Melrose
9.6
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
Belmont
9.6
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
Melrose
9.6
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
Mott Haven
9.6
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
Morrisania
9.6
/ 10 · Very High
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