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Neighborhood · Ranked #6,676 of 84,120 nationally

Baychester Eviction Risk: High , New York

Tract 36005031400 · Bronx County, NY · pop 2,244 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

With a score of 8.2/10, tract 36005031400 in the Baychester area of New York, NY reads high for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,244. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10.

Risk score
8.2
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 19% Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units597
Renter share32.3%
SVI overall0.63
Poverty rate3.3%
Median income$111,917

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#4 of 9 tracts In Baychester
Elevated
Within parent city
4 th percentile
Rank, 4th percentileLowHigh
#2,240 of 2,324 tracts In New York
Very Low
Within county
13 th percentile
Rank, 13th percentileLowHigh
#315 of 361 tracts In Bronx County
Very Low
Within state
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#2,473 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across New York and the region

Centroid at 40.8615, -73.8455 · click any tract to drill in

Why Baychester scores 8.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from New York
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.4
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
3.3% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,780 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from New York
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New York
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from New York
7.1

How Baychester compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Baychester risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.2This tracttract 0314009.6New Yorkparent city9.3Countyavg tract in county7.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 63

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 52Total filings over 8 yrs
  • 4.05%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.2%Peak (2003)
  • 5Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 36005031400
Filings dropped 29% over the past 8 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Baychester. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Baychester

40% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Bronx County average of 56.0%. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 9.6/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10.

Severe burden reaches 13%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Against the Bronx County average of 9.3, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.1 points. Court records carry 52 eviction filings across 8 observed years.

The worst year on record was 2003, when 7.2% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 4.1% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 92% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Average gross rent is $1,780, close to the New York average. Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $111,917.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 36005031400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36005031400?

Census tract 36005031400 in the Baychester neighborhood scores 8.2/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 36005031400?

Median gross rent is $1,780/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 36005031400?

3.3% of residents in tract 36005031400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,244.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 36005031400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 61th, minority 85th, housing 70th.
Q5

Is tract 36005031400 considered part of Baychester?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36005031400 fall within Baychester (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 36005031400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 52 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 36005031400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.05% of renter households, peaking at 7.2% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 36005031400 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 36005031400 compare to New York overall?

Tract 36005031400 scores 8.2/10, lower than the parent city of New York at 9.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New York eviction laws; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 36005031400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in New York

Top eight tracts in New York ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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