Within neighborhood
13
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #10,885 of 84,120 nationally
Baychester Eviction Risk: Elevated , New York
Tract 36005031400 · Bronx County, NY · pop 2,244 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
For landlords sizing up the Baychester neighborhood of New York, census tract 36005031400 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 6.9/10. That is riskier than about 93% of US census tracts.
About 40% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,780 a month against an average household income of $111,917 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 32% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
6.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units597
Renter share32.3%
SVI overall0.63
Poverty rate3.3%
Median income$111,917
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
19
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
2
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
49
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across New York and the region
Centroid at 40.8615, -73.8455 · click any tract to drill in
Why Baychester scores 6.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from New York
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.4
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
3.3% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,780 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from New York
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New York
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from New York
7.1
How Baychester compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 63
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 43%Socioeconomic
- 61%Household composition
- 85%Racial/ethnic minority
- 70%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 99%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 52Total filings over 8 yrs
- 4.05%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.2%Peak (2003)
- 5Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 29% over the past 8 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Baychester. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.2%Housing insecurity
- 6.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.7%Food insecurity
- 9.9%SNAP enrollment
- 7.0%Transit barriers
- 7.7%No health insurance
- 12.4%Frequent mental distress
- 26.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Baychester
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from New York eviction laws, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Bronx County average of 7.8 and above the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 52 eviction filings here over 8 tracked years, with about 4.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 7.2% of renter households in 2003.
The tract is Hispanic or Latino and Black and ranks around the 63rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 36005031400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36005031400?
Census tract 36005031400 in the Baychester neighborhood scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36005031400?
Median gross rent is $1,780/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36005031400?
3.3% of residents in tract 36005031400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,244.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36005031400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 61th, minority 85th, housing 70th.
Q5
Is tract 36005031400 considered part of Baychester?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36005031400 fall within Baychester (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 36005031400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 52 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 36005031400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.05% of renter households, peaking at 7.2% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 36005031400 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 36005031400 compare to New York overall?
Tract 36005031400 scores 6.1/10, lower than the parent city of New York at 9.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New York eviction laws; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 36005031400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in New York
Top eight tracts in New York ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NY
Morrisania
9.6
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
Mott Haven
9.6
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
Melrose
9.6
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
Belmont
9.6
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
Mott Haven
9.6
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
Melrose
9.6
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
Morrisania
9.6
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
High Bridge
9.6
/ 10 · Very High
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