Within neighborhood
83
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally
Belmont Eviction Risk: High , New York
Tract 36005038700 · Bronx County, NY · pop 3,707 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
With a score of 9.9/10, tract 36005038700 in the Belmont area of New York, NY reads high for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,707. 44% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
9.9
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 72%
Stable renters 26%
Owners 2%
Tract context
Occupied units1,479
Renter share98.1%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate41.3%
Median income$41,088
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
95
th percentile
Very High
Within county
73
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across New York and the region
Centroid at 40.8580, -73.8893 · click any tract to drill in
Why Belmont scores 9.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from New York
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.4
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
41.3% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,659 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from New York
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New York
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from New York
7.1
How Belmont compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 99
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 99%Socioeconomic
- 82%Household composition
- 91%Racial/ethnic minority
- 96%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 100%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 2,461Total filings over 8 yrs
- 27.77%Avg annual filing rate
- 31.1%Peak (2005)
- 209Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 37% over the past 8 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Belmont. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 37.6%Housing insecurity
- 21.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 46.3%Food insecurity
- 42.2%SNAP enrollment
- 21.2%Transit barriers
- 19.3%No health insurance
- 19.6%Frequent mental distress
- 38.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Belmont
73% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Bronx County average of 56.0%. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10. Set annual rent against average income of $41,088 and the ratio lands at 48%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
Housing insecurity runs 37.6% against 14.2% nationally. This is renter territory: 98% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.8/10. The poverty rate is 41%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 9.6/10.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 2,461 filings here across 8 tracked years. Adults with no health insurance runs 19.3% against 11.3% nationally.
Filings peaked in 2005 at 31.1% of renter households. At $1,659 a month, rents run 9% under what the rest of New York commands.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 36005038700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36005038700?
Census tract 36005038700 in the Belmont neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36005038700?
Median gross rent is $1,659/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 73% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36005038700?
41.3% of residents in tract 36005038700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,707.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36005038700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 82th, minority 91th, housing 96th.
Q5
Is tract 36005038700 considered part of Belmont?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36005038700 fall within Belmont (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 36005038700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,461 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 36005038700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 27.77% of renter households, peaking at 31.1% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 36005038700 struggle to pay rent?
About 37.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 21.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 36005038700 compare to New York overall?
Tract 36005038700 scores 9.9/10, higher than the parent city of New York at 9.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New York eviction laws; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 36005038700 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 100% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in New York
Top eight tracts in New York ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NY
Midwood
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
LeFrak City
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
Brownsville
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
Sugar Hill
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
Linden Hill
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
Van Nest
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
New Springville
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
East Tremont
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
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