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Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

Belmont Eviction Risk: High , New York

Tract 36005038900 · Bronx County, NY · pop 5,440 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Census tract 36005038900 covers part of the Belmont area of New York, NY, and scores 9.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,440 residents. Severe burden reaches 35%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
9.9
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 56% Stable renters 44% Owners 0%
Tract context
Occupied units1,990
Renter share99.3%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate37.2%
Median income$48,796

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 7 tracts In Belmont
Elevated
Within parent city
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#437 of 2,324 tracts In New York
High
Within county
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#83 of 361 tracts In Bronx County
High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across New York and the region

Centroid at 40.8564, -73.8850 · click any tract to drill in

Why Belmont scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from New York
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.4
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
37.2% poverty · this tract
9.3
Supply constraint
$1,676 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from New York
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New York
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from New York
7.1

How Belmont compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Belmont risk score vs. parent city / county / state9.9This tracttract 0389009.6New Yorkparent city9.3Countyavg tract in county7.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,530Total filings over 8 yrs
  • 13.47%Avg annual filing rate
  • 13.2%Peak (2016)
  • 216Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 36005038900
Filings climbed 16% over the past 8 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Belmont. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Belmont

The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10. 99% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 9.6/10. Annualized rent equals 41% of average household income of $48,796, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

The poverty rate is 37%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Running hot, economic stress reads 9.3/10.

Housing insecurity runs 32.9% against 14.2% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 17.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,530 filings here across 8 tracked years.

Filings peaked in 2016 at 13.2% of renter households. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Bronx. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 36005038900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36005038900?

Census tract 36005038900 in the Belmont neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 36005038900?

Median gross rent is $1,676/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 36005038900?

37.2% of residents in tract 36005038900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,440.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 36005038900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 54th, minority 89th, housing 97th.
Q5

Is tract 36005038900 considered part of Belmont?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36005038900 fall within Belmont (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 36005038900?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,530 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 36005038900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.47% of renter households, peaking at 13.2% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 36005038900 struggle to pay rent?

About 32.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 36005038900 compare to New York overall?

Tract 36005038900 scores 9.9/10, higher than the parent city of New York at 9.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New York eviction laws; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 36005038900 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 100% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in New York

Top eight tracts in New York ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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