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Neighborhood · Ranked #16 of 84,120 nationally

Belmont Eviction Risk: High , New York

Tract 36005039700 · Bronx County, NY · pop 3,771 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 36005039700 (the Belmont area of New York, New York) comes in at 8.2/10, the High tier. That ranks it in the top 1% of US census tracts for landlord eviction risk, among the very hardest places in the country to operate.

About 52% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 35% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $934 a month while the average household earns $21,987 a year, roughly 51% of income at the averages. Renters make up 98% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
9.5
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 51% Stable renters 47% Owners 2%
Tract context
Occupied units468
Renter share97.6%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate36.9%
Median income$21,987

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 7 tracts In Belmont
Elevated
Within parent city
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#17 of 2,324 tracts In New York
Very High
Within county
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#15 of 361 tracts In Bronx County
Very High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across New York and the region

Centroid at 40.8618, -73.8854 · click any tract to drill in

Why Belmont scores 9.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from New York
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.4
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
36.9% poverty · this tract
9.2
Supply constraint
$934 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from New York
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New York
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from New York
7.1

How Belmont compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Belmont risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 9.59.5This tracttract 039700New York: 9.79.7New Yorkparent cityCounty: 8.48.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.95.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 81

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 780Total filings over 8 yrs
  • 19.02%Avg annual filing rate
  • 24.5%Peak (2003)
  • 65Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 360050397002000: 115 filings (22.33/100 renter HHs)2001: 80 filings (15.53/100 renter HHs)2002: 80 filings (15.53/100 renter HHs)2003: 126 filings (24.46/100 renter HHs)2004: 111 filings (21.55/100 renter HHs)2005: 108 filings (21.17/100 renter HHs)2006: 95 filings (18.62/100 renter HHs)2016: 65 filings (12.95/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 43% over the past 8 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Belmont. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Belmont

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from New York eviction laws, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Bronx County average of 7.8 and above the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 81st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 21.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord underwriting a deal here, treat timelines and legal costs as the real risk: New York eviction laws sits in territory where contested cases drag and tenant defenses are well organized, so airtight notices and screening matter more than usual.

Frequently asked

About tract 36005039700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36005039700?

Census tract 36005039700 in the Belmont neighborhood scores 9.5/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 36005039700?

Median gross rent is $934/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 36005039700?

36.9% of residents in tract 36005039700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,771.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 36005039700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 7th, minority 65th, housing 94th.
Q5

Is tract 36005039700 considered part of Belmont?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36005039700 fall within Belmont (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 36005039700?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 780 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 36005039700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 19.02% of renter households, peaking at 24.5% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 36005039700 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 36005039700 compare to New York overall?

Tract 36005039700 scores 9.5/10, right in line with the parent city of New York at 9.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New York eviction laws; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 36005039700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 17% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in New York

Top eight tracts in New York ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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