Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

Belmont Eviction Risk: High , New York

Tract 36005038500 · Bronx County, NY · pop 5,401 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

In Belmont in New York, census tract 36005038500 scores 8.3/10 for eviction risk. That ranks it in the top 1% of US census tracts for landlord eviction risk, among the very hardest places in the country to operate.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 72% of renter households, a severe level, and 63% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,346 monthly, set against $17,598 in average yearly household income, roughly 92% of income at the averages. Renters make up 96% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
9.6
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 69% Stable renters 27% Owners 4%
Tract context
Occupied units1,831
Renter share96.2%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate61.1%
Median income$17,598

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 7 tracts In Belmont
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 2,324 tracts In New York
Very High
Within county
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 361 tracts In Bronx County
Very High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across New York and the region

Centroid at 40.8562, -73.8925 · click any tract to drill in

Why Belmont scores 9.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from New York
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.4
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
61.1% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,346 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from New York
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New York
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from New York
7.1

How Belmont compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Belmont risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 9.69.6This tracttract 038500New York: 9.79.7New Yorkparent cityCounty: 8.48.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.95.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 99

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,365Total filings over 8 yrs
  • 23.77%Avg annual filing rate
  • 21.3%Peak (2016)
  • 348Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 360050385002000: 298 filings (25.28/100 renter HHs)2001: 274 filings (23.24/100 renter HHs)2002: 281 filings (23.83/100 renter HHs)2003: 266 filings (22.56/100 renter HHs)2004: 309 filings (26.21/100 renter HHs)2005: 273 filings (22.11/100 renter HHs)2006: 316 filings (25.59/100 renter HHs)2016: 348 filings (21.30/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 17% over the past 8 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Belmont. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Belmont

The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from New York eviction laws, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Bronx County average of 7.8 and above the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 100% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

In CDC survey modeling, about 45.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 29.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord underwriting a deal here, treat timelines and legal costs as the real risk: New York eviction laws sits in territory where contested cases drag and tenant defenses are well organized, so airtight notices and screening matter more than usual.

Frequently asked

About tract 36005038500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36005038500?

Census tract 36005038500 in the Belmont neighborhood scores 9.6/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 36005038500?

Median gross rent is $1,346/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 36005038500?

61.1% of residents in tract 36005038500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,401.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 36005038500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 93th, minority 99th, housing 98th.
Q5

Is tract 36005038500 considered part of Belmont?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36005038500 fall within Belmont (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 36005038500?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,365 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 36005038500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 23.77% of renter households, peaking at 21.3% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 36005038500 struggle to pay rent?

About 45.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 29.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 36005038500 compare to New York overall?

Tract 36005038500 scores 9.6/10, right in line with the parent city of New York at 9.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New York eviction laws; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 36005038500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 100% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in New York

Top eight tracts in New York ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related