Neighborhood · Ranked #6,676 of 84,120 nationally

Eastchester Eviction Risk: High , New York

Tract 36005048401 · Bronx County, NY · pop 3,815 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Tract 36005048401 sits in the Eastchester area of New York eviction laws, NY, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8.2/10. The severe-burden share is 34%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

8.2

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 20% Owners 49%

Tract context

Occupied units1,297

Renter share51.3%

SVI overall0.83

Poverty rate7.6%

Median income$86,273

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across New York and the region

Centroid at 40.8861, -73.8332 · click any tract to drill in

Why Eastchester scores 8.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from New York

8.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.4

State political climate

New York legislature & governorship

7.3

Economic stress

7.6% poverty · this tract

1.9

Supply constraint

$1,808 rent vs county FMR

1.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from New York

6.9

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from New York

9.8

Housing court bias

Inherited from New York

7.1

How Eastchester compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 83

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

67%Socioeconomic
85%Household composition
97%Racial/ethnic minority
75%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
99%Grade C
1%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Eastchester. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

24.9%Housing insecurity
13.4%Utility-shutoff threat
27.1%Food insecurity
23.0%SNAP enrollment
12.5%Transit barriers
8.0%No health insurance
15.5%Frequent mental distress
29.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Eastchester

The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 9.6/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.5/10.

Housing insecurity runs 24.9% against 14.2% nationally. It sits 1.1 points below the Bronx County average of 9.3. Food insecurity runs 27.1% against 17.8% nationally.

61% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Bronx County average of 56.0%. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 92% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.5/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

Average gross rent is $1,808, close to the New York average. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $86,273.

51% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 36005048401

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36005048401?

Census tract 36005048401 in the Eastchester neighborhood scores 8.2/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 36005048401?

Median gross rent is $1,808/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 36005048401?

7.6% of residents in tract 36005048401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,815.

How socially vulnerable is tract 36005048401?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 85th, minority 97th, housing 75th.

Is tract 36005048401 considered part of Eastchester?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36005048401 fall within Eastchester (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 36005048401 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 36005048401 compare to New York overall?

Tract 36005048401 scores 8.2/10, lower than the parent city of New York at 9.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New York eviction laws; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 36005048401 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in New York

Top eight tracts in New York ranked by composite eviction-risk score.