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Neighborhood · Ranked #3,529 of 84,120 nationally

Eastchester Eviction Risk: High , New York

Tract 36005048402 · Bronx County, NY · pop 41 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

36005048402 is a census tract in the Eastchester area of New York, NY. It scores 9.2/10 for landlords. Population here is 41. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10.

Risk score
9.2
High
Confidence 45% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 0% Owners 100%
Tract context
SVI overall-10.00

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Eastchester
Elevated
Within parent city
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#1,391 of 2,324 tracts In New York
Moderate
Within county
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#243 of 361 tracts In Bronx County
Low
Within state
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#1,665 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across New York and the region

Centroid at 40.8869, -73.8385 · click any tract to drill in

Why Eastchester scores 9.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from New York
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.4
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
this tract poverty rate
3.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from New York
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New York
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from New York
7.1

How Eastchester compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Eastchester risk score vs. parent city / county / state9.2This tracttract 0484029.6New Yorkparent city9.3Countyavg tract in county7.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: -1,000

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Eastchester. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Eastchester

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 9.6/10. On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.4/10. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Bronx. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

On the national scale it lands near the 96th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter.

Model confidence here is 45%, lower than typical because some ACS inputs for this tract carry wide margins of error, so read the score as a band, not a point. It tracks the Bronx County average of 9.3 closely.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 36005048402

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36005048402?

Census tract 36005048402 in the Eastchester neighborhood scores 9.2/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

How socially vulnerable is tract 36005048402?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the -1000th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic -1000th, household -1000th, minority -1000th, housing -1000th.
Q3

Is tract 36005048402 considered part of Eastchester?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36005048402 fall within Eastchester (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q4

How does tract 36005048402 compare to New York overall?

Tract 36005048402 scores 9.2/10, lower than the parent city of New York at 9.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New York eviction laws; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q5

Was tract 36005048402 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in New York

Top eight tracts in New York ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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