Neighborhood · Ranked #2,663 of 84,120 nationally

Allentown Eviction Risk: Elevated , Buffalo

Tract 36029006802 · Erie County, NY · pop 2,188 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Census tract 36029006802 sits in Allentown in Buffalo eviction risk, New York eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 6.4/10. That is riskier than roughly 85% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 37% of renter households, a high level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,059 monthly, set against $50,640 in average yearly household income, roughly 25% of income at the averages. About 64% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

7.7

Elevated

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 40% Owners 36%

Tract context

Occupied units1,398

Renter share64.3%

SVI overall0.27

Poverty rate15.6%

Median income$50,640

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Buffalo and the region

Centroid at 42.8992, -78.8784 · click any tract to drill in

Why Allentown scores 7.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Buffalo

8.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.7

State political climate

New York legislature & governorship

7.3

Economic stress

15.6% poverty · this tract

3.9

Supply constraint

$1,059 rent vs county FMR

4.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Buffalo

7.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

8.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Buffalo

7.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Buffalo

7.5

How Allentown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 27

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

26%Socioeconomic
6%Household composition
34%Racial/ethnic minority
68%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
100%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Allentown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

10.3%Housing insecurity
6.5%Utility-shutoff threat
10.4%Food insecurity
9.0%SNAP enrollment
6.6%Transit barriers
5.2%No health insurance
15.6%Frequent mental distress
18.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Allentown

The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Buffalo eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Erie County average of 6.1 and in line with the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 27th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 36029006802

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029006802?

Census tract 36029006802 in the Allentown neighborhood scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 36029006802?

Median gross rent is $1,059/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 36029006802?

15.6% of residents in tract 36029006802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,188.

How socially vulnerable is tract 36029006802?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 26th, household 6th, minority 34th, housing 68th.

Is tract 36029006802 considered part of Allentown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36029006802 fall within Allentown (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 36029006802 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 36029006802 compare to Buffalo overall?

Tract 36029006802 scores 7.7/10, lower than the parent city of Buffalo at 9.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Buffalo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 36029006802 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Buffalo

Top eight tracts in Buffalo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.