Tonawanda Eviction Risk: Elevated

The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.4/10.

Average gross rent is $633, 24% below the Tonawanda average. 15% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.4/10.

On the national scale it lands near the 80th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 10% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Rent consumes only 14% of average household income of $55,273, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.4 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Erie County average of 6.8 closely.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.