Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #16,571 of 84,120 nationally

Kensington Eviction Risk: Elevated , Buffalo

Tract 36029010201 · Erie County, NY · pop 2,519 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi

With a score of 6.3/10, tract 36029010201 in the Kensington area of Cheektowaga, NY reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,519 residents. Cost burden runs 30% here against 44.6% across Erie County.

Risk score
6.3
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 16% Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units1,137
Renter share22.9%
SVI overall0.12
Poverty rate13.7%
Median income$74,609

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
10 th percentile
Rank, 10th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 11 tracts In Kensington
Very Low
Within parent city
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 23 tracts In Buffalo
Elevated
Within county
51 th percentile
Rank, 51st percentileLowHigh
#129 of 260 tracts In Erie County
Moderate
Within state
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#3,749 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Buffalo and the region

Centroid at 42.9464, -78.7871 · click any tract to drill in

Why Kensington scores 6.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Buffalo
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
13.7% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$971 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Buffalo
5.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Buffalo
6.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Buffalo
5.4

How Kensington compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Kensington risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.3This tracttract 0102017.9Buffaloparent city6.8Countyavg tract in county7.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 12

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Kensington. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Kensington

Severe burden reaches 25%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The score leans hardest on state political climate at 7.3/10.

This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Buffalo. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #16,571 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

At 23% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. The legal-climate inputs (statute speed, court posture, rent-regulation exposure) come from Cheektowaga eviction risk as a whole. Only the economic and supply signals are measured inside this tract. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Against average income of $74,609, annual rent is just 16%. Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.4 points cooler.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Erie County average of 6.8 closely. Average gross rent is $971, close to the Cheektowaga average.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 36029010201

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029010201?

Census tract 36029010201 in the Kensington neighborhood scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 36029010201?

Median gross rent is $971/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 36029010201?

13.7% of residents in tract 36029010201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,519.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 36029010201?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 12th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 7th, household 32th, minority 56th, housing 15th.
Q5

Is tract 36029010201 considered part of Kensington?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36029010201 fall within Kensington (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 36029010201 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 36029010201 compare to Buffalo overall?

Tract 36029010201 scores 6.3/10, lower than the parent city of Buffalo at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Buffalo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 36029010201 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Buffalo

Top eight tracts in Buffalo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related