Census Tract · Ranked #13,812 of 84,120 nationally
Tonawanda Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 36029007700 ·
Erie County, NY · pop 4,676
Tract 36029007700 sits in Tonawanda, NY, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.8/10. 28% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
6.8
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%Stable renters 12%Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units2,147
Renter share27.9%
SVI overall0.37
Poverty rate13.3%
Median income$68,813
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
67th percentile
#2 of 4 tracts In Tonawanda
Elevated
Within county
58th percentile
#110 of 260 tracts In Erie County
Elevated
Within state
36th percentile
#3,442 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Low
National
84th percentile
#13,812 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tonawanda and the region
Centroid at 43.0135, -78.8804 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tonawanda scores 6.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tonawanda
5.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
13.3% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$839 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tonawanda
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tonawanda
5.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tonawanda
6.7
How Tonawanda compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 37
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
10.5%Housing insecurity
6.8%Utility-shutoff threat
11.2%Food insecurity
10.4%SNAP enrollment
6.8%Transit barriers
5.2%No health insurance
16.3%Frequent mental distress
23.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tonawanda
57% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Erie County average of 44.6%. The main counterweight is supply constraint at 2.1/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.4/10.
Running hot, state political climate reads 7.3/10. Nationally it ranks #13,812 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.3/10. Against average income of $68,813, annual rent is just 15%.
Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler. It tracks the Erie County average of 6.8 closely.
Average gross rent is $839, close to the Tonawanda average. 28% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 36029007700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029007700?
Census tract 36029007700 in Tonawanda scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36029007700?
Median gross rent is $839/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36029007700?
13.3% of residents in tract 36029007700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,676.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36029007700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 43th, minority 19th, housing 37th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 36029007700 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 36029007700 compare to Tonawanda overall?
Tract 36029007700 scores 6.8/10, higher than the parent city of Tonawanda at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tonawanda; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tonawanda
Top eight tracts in Tonawanda ranked by composite eviction-risk score.