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Census Tract · Ranked #13,812 of 84,120 nationally

Tonawanda Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 36029007700 · Erie County, NY · pop 4,676

Tract 36029007700 sits in Tonawanda, NY, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.8/10. 28% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
6.8
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 12% Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units2,147
Renter share27.9%
SVI overall0.37
Poverty rate13.3%
Median income$68,813

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Tonawanda
Elevated
Within county
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#110 of 260 tracts In Erie County
Elevated
Within state
36 th percentile
Rank, 36th percentileLowHigh
#3,442 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Low
National
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#13,812 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tonawanda and the region

Centroid at 43.0135, -78.8804 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tonawanda scores 6.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tonawanda
5.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
13.3% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$839 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tonawanda
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tonawanda
5.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tonawanda
6.7

How Tonawanda compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Tonawanda risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.8This tracttract 0077006.5Tonawandaparent city6.8Countyavg tract in county7.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 37

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tonawanda

57% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Erie County average of 44.6%. The main counterweight is supply constraint at 2.1/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.4/10.

Running hot, state political climate reads 7.3/10. Nationally it ranks #13,812 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.3/10. Against average income of $68,813, annual rent is just 15%.

Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler. It tracks the Erie County average of 6.8 closely.

Average gross rent is $839, close to the Tonawanda average. 28% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 36029007700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029007700?

Census tract 36029007700 in Tonawanda scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 36029007700?

Median gross rent is $839/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 36029007700?

13.3% of residents in tract 36029007700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,676.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 36029007700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 43th, minority 19th, housing 37th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 36029007700 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 36029007700 compare to Tonawanda overall?

Tract 36029007700 scores 6.8/10, higher than the parent city of Tonawanda at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tonawanda; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tonawanda

Top eight tracts in Tonawanda ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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