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Neighborhood · Ranked #13,812 of 84,120 nationally

Central Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , Buffalo

Tract 36029004500 · Erie County, NY · pop 5,584 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Tract 36029004500 sits in the Central Park area of Buffalo eviction risk, NY, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.8/10. It is home to 5,584 residents. The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
6.8
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 21% Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units2,374
Renter share35.6%
SVI overall0.22
Poverty rate8.3%
Median income$99,430

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Central Park
Very Low
Within parent city
2 th percentile
Rank, 2nd percentileLowHigh
#89 of 91 tracts In Buffalo
Very Low
Within county
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#108 of 260 tracts In Erie County
Elevated
Within state
36 th percentile
Rank, 36th percentileLowHigh
#3,442 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Buffalo and the region

Centroid at 42.9478, -78.8373 · click any tract to drill in

Why Central Park scores 6.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Buffalo
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
8.3% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,138 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Buffalo
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Buffalo
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Buffalo
7.5

How Central Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Central Park risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.8This tracttract 0045007.9Buffaloparent city6.8Countyavg tract in county7.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 22

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Central Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Central Park

What pushes it up most is local political climate at 8/10. On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.1/10.

At $1,138 a month, rents run 9% over what the rest of Buffalo commands. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Buffalo. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

Nationally it ranks #13,812 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.9/10.

Against average income of $99,430, annual rent is just 14%. Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 41% of renters.

It tracks the Erie County average of 6.8 closely. 36% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 36029004500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029004500?

Census tract 36029004500 in the Central Park neighborhood scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 36029004500?

Median gross rent is $1,138/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 36029004500?

8.3% of residents in tract 36029004500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,584.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 36029004500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 22th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 12th, minority 54th, housing 25th.
Q5

Is tract 36029004500 considered part of Central Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36029004500 fall within Central Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 36029004500 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 36029004500 compare to Buffalo overall?

Tract 36029004500 scores 6.8/10, lower than the parent city of Buffalo at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Buffalo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 36029004500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Buffalo

Top eight tracts in Buffalo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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