Skip to content
Census Tract · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally

Tonawanda Town Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 36029007904 · Erie County, NY · pop 2,771

Census tract 36029007904 covers part of Tonawanda Town, NY, and scores 5.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,771 residents. The severe-burden share is 38%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 6% Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units1,399
Renter share19.9%
SVI overall0.21
Poverty rate4.4%
Median income$74,013

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#10 of 14 tracts In Tonawanda Town
Low
Within county
21 th percentile
Rank, 21st percentileLowHigh
#207 of 260 tracts In Erie County
Low
Within state
11 th percentile
Rank, 11th percentileLowHigh
#4,784 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Very Low
National
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#31,049 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tonawanda Town and the region

Centroid at 42.9858, -78.8300 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tonawanda Town scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tonawanda Town
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
4.4% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$1,477 rent vs county FMR
7.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tonawanda Town
5.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tonawanda Town
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tonawanda Town
4.1

How Tonawanda Town compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Tonawanda Town risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.1This tracttract 0079045.9Tonawanda Townparent city6.8Countyavg tract in county7.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 21

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tonawanda Town

Against Erie County at 44.6%, roughly two in three of renters here are cost-burdened. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.1/10. Average gross rent is $1,477, 34% above the Tonawanda Town average.

Against the Erie County average of 6.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.7 points. The voucher gap is 25.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. On the high side, supply constraint reads 7.6/10.

Well under the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 2.5/10. Food insecurity runs 8.7% against 17.8% nationally.

SNAP participation runs 7.4% against 15.2% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 63rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

At 20% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 2.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 2.6 points cooler.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 36029007904

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029007904?

Census tract 36029007904 in Tonawanda Town scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 36029007904?

Median gross rent is $1,477/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 36029007904?

4.4% of residents in tract 36029007904 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,771.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 36029007904?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 21th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 22th, household 36th, minority 10th, housing 32th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 36029007904 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 36029007904 compare to Tonawanda Town overall?

Tract 36029007904 scores 5.1/10, lower than the parent city of Tonawanda Town at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tonawanda Town eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tonawanda Town

Top eight tracts in Tonawanda Town ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related