Tonawanda Town Eviction Risk: Moderate

Against the Erie County average of 6.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.7 points. Cost burden runs 37% here against 44.6% across Erie County. On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 2.5/10.

Food insecurity runs 6.9% against 17.8% nationally. At $897 a month, rents run 19% under what the rest of Tonawanda Town commands.

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.6/10. The severe-burden share is 8%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Adults with no health insurance runs 3.6% against 11.3% nationally. This ground was mapped A ("Best") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Buffalo. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 63% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Only 25% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Against average income of $86,750, annual rent is just 12%.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.