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Census Tract · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally

Tract 36029009004 Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 36029009004 · Erie County, NY · pop 3,938

Tract 36029009004 sits in Erie County, NY, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.6/10. It is home to 3,938 residents. What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 10/10.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 65% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 6% Owners 94%
Tract context
Occupied units1,735
Renter share6.3%
SVI overall0.16
Poverty rate15.3%
Median income$104,939

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within county
32 th percentile
Rank, 32nd percentileLowHigh
#178 of 260 tracts In Erie County
Low
Within state
19 th percentile
Rank, 19th percentileLowHigh
#4,390 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Very Low
National
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#22,681 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Erie County and the region

Centroid at 43.0465, -78.7104 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tract 36029009004 scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
State baseline
7.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
15.3% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$2,382 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
State baseline
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0

How Tract 36029009004 compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Tract 36029009004 risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.6This tracttract 0090046.8Countyavg tract in county7.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 16

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tract 36029009004

The voucher gap is 102.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Against the Erie County average of 6.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.2 points.

Running hot, state political climate reads 7.3/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.3/10. Food insecurity runs 9.7% against 17.8% nationally.

That is riskier than roughly 73% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 6% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Social vulnerability reads 2.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 2.1 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Model confidence here is 65%, lower than typical because some ACS inputs for this tract carry wide margins of error, so read the score as a band, not a point. Average gross rent runs $2,382 a month.

Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $104,939.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 36029009004

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029009004?

Census tract 36029009004 in Erie County scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 36029009004?

Median gross rent is $2,382/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 0% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 36029009004?

15.3% of residents in tract 36029009004 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,938.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 36029009004?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 16th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 31th, minority 38th, housing 4th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 36029009004 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
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