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Neighborhood · Ranked #34,332 of 84,120 nationally

North Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Buffalo

Tract 36029008500 · Erie County, NY · pop 2,459 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Census tract 36029008500 covers the North Park neighborhood of Buffalo, home to 2,459 residents. For landlords it grades 5.3/10, a moderate reading. It lands near the 49th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 27% of renter households, a moderate level, and 11% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $485 a month while the average household earns $91,208 a year, roughly 6% of income at the averages. About 23% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 17% Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units1,197
Renter share23.1%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate5.7%
Median income$91,208

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 8 tracts In North Park
Very Low
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Buffalo
Very Low
Within county
21 th percentile
Rank, 21st percentileLowHigh
#206 of 260 tracts In Erie County
Low
Within state
26 th percentile
Rank, 26th percentileLowHigh
#4,002 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Buffalo and the region

Centroid at 42.9604, -78.8616 · click any tract to drill in

Why North Park scores 4.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Buffalo
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
5.7% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$485 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Buffalo
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Buffalo
6.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Buffalo
6.3

How North Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
North Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.44.4This tracttract 008500Buffalo: 9.49.4Buffaloparent cityCounty: 6.06.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.95.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 25

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within North Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in North Park

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Buffalo eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Erie County average of 6.1 and below the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 25th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 36029008500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029008500?

Census tract 36029008500 in the North Park neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 36029008500?

Median gross rent is $485/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 36029008500?

5.7% of residents in tract 36029008500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,459.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 36029008500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 20th, household 20th, minority 33th, housing 50th.
Q5

Is tract 36029008500 considered part of North Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36029008500 fall within North Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 36029008500 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 36029008500 compare to Buffalo overall?

Tract 36029008500 scores 4.4/10, lower than the parent city of Buffalo at 9.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Buffalo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 36029008500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Buffalo

Top eight tracts in Buffalo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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