North Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Buffalo

The main counterweight is tenant-organizing strength at 2.5/10. It sits 1.2 points below the Erie County average of 6.8.

Sitting well above the midpoint, state political climate reads 7.3/10. Food insecurity runs 8.8% against 17.8% nationally. On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 7/10.

SNAP participation runs 8.0% against 15.2% nationally. At $998 a month, rents run 9% under what the rest of Tonawanda Town commands. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

That is riskier than roughly 73% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 24% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Against average income of $85,825, annual rent is just 14%. Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 2.1 points cooler.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 47% of renters.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.