11 census tracts · pop 41,070 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8.3/10
· range 4.5–9.3
Kensington takes in 11 census tracts of Buffalo, NY and houses 41,070 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 8.3/10, placing it in the High tier. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 4.5 to 9.3, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk.
roughly one in two of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, markedly above the Buffalo rate of 31.4%. Severe burden reaches 29%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.
CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 27.3% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 26%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. What pushes the score up most is eviction-process difficulty at 7.6/10.
Food insecurity affects 32.7% of adults, 14.9 points above the national rate. Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 7.1/10. Average gross rent is $981, 6% below the Buffalo average of $1,046.
That places it #15 of 21 neighborhoods in Buffalo. The closest comparables inside the same city are Kaisertown and RiverBend. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $56,186.
For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 8.3 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
8.3
High
11 tracts · population-weighted
Kensington vs BuffaloHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority80%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport37%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Kensington
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
25.8%Housing insecurity
18.9%Utility shutoff threat
30.6%Food insecurity
32.7%SNAP enrollment
8.1%No health insurance
30.1%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Kensington
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Kensington?
Kensington scores 8.3/10 (High tier) across 11 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Kensington compare to Buffalo overall?
Kensington scores 0.4 points higher than Buffalo overall (7.9/10). Renters spend 48% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $981 vs $1,046.
Q3
What is the average rent in Kensington?
Average gross rent in Kensington is $981/month (pop-weighted across 11 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Kensington residents are renters?
44% of Kensington households are renter-occupied (vs 57% in Buffalo). The neighborhood has 41,070 residents.
Q5
Is Kensington a high social-vulnerability area?
Kensington sits in the 58th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Kensington have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Kensington is census tract 36029004300 (score 9.3/10). Across the 11 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.5 to 9.3, a spread of 4.8 points.
Q7
How safe is Kensington for landlords?
Kensington carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8.3/10). Pop-weighted across 11 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Buffalo as a whole (7.9/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Kensington?
Kensington has 41,217 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (60.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (25%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (6.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
