Kaisertown Eviction Risk: Elevated , Buffalo

Cost burden runs 53% here against 44.6% across Erie County. The severe-burden share is 16%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

On the high side, state political climate reads 7.3/10. Against the Erie County average of 6.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Buffalo. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

On the national scale it lands near the 78th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 14% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Against average income of $67,708, annual rent is just 17%. Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.7 points cooler.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Average gross rent is $979, close to the Cheektowaga average.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.