Neighborhood · Ranked #24,926 of 84,120 nationally

Kaisertown Eviction Risk: Moderate , Buffalo

Tract 36029011100 · Erie County, NY · pop 2,180 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

How risky is the Kaisertown neighborhood of Buffalo for landlords? Census tract 36029011100 scores $1/10, the Elevated tier. That is riskier than about 74% of US census tracts.

53% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $979 a month while the average household earns $67,708 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 14% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 7% Owners 85%

Tract context

Occupied units912

Renter share14.3%

SVI overall0.29

Poverty rate8.5%

Median income$67,708

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Buffalo and the region

Centroid at 42.8804, -78.7922 · click any tract to drill in

Why Kaisertown scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Buffalo

6.2

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.7

State political climate

New York legislature & governorship

7.3

Economic stress

8.5% poverty · this tract

2.1

Supply constraint

$979 rent vs county FMR

3.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Buffalo

5.7

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.8

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Buffalo

6.4

Housing court bias

Inherited from Buffalo

5.4

How Kaisertown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 29

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

17%Socioeconomic
61%Household composition
23%Racial/ethnic minority
42%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
87%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Kaisertown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

11.3%Housing insecurity
6.8%Utility-shutoff threat
12.1%Food insecurity
10.7%SNAP enrollment
6.9%Transit barriers
5.9%No health insurance
16.6%Frequent mental distress
24.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Kaisertown

What moves this score most is eviction process difficulty at 6.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Buffalo eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Erie County average of 6.1 and in line with the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 29th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 36029011100

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029011100?

Census tract 36029011100 in the Kaisertown neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 36029011100?

Median gross rent is $979/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 36029011100?

8.5% of residents in tract 36029011100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,180.

How socially vulnerable is tract 36029011100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 29th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 17th, household 61th, minority 23th, housing 42th.

Is tract 36029011100 considered part of Kaisertown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36029011100 fall within Kaisertown (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 36029011100 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 36029011100 compare to Buffalo overall?

Tract 36029011100 scores 5/10, lower than the parent city of Buffalo at 9.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Buffalo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 36029011100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Buffalo

Top eight tracts in Buffalo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.