Neighborhood · Ranked #16,032 of 84,120 nationally

Kaisertown Eviction Risk: Elevated , Buffalo

Tract 36029011000 · Erie County, NY · pop 1,994 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Census tract 36029011000 covers part of the Kaisertown area of Cheektowaga, NY, and scores 6.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,994. Cost burden runs 34% here against 44.6% across Erie County.

Risk score

6.4

Elevated

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 15% Owners 78%

Tract context

Occupied units809

Renter share22.1%

SVI overall0.44

Poverty rate12.2%

Median income$63,958

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Buffalo and the region

Centroid at 42.8747, -78.7934 · click any tract to drill in

Why Kaisertown scores 6.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Buffalo

6.2

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.7

State political climate

New York legislature & governorship

7.3

Economic stress

12.2% poverty · this tract

3.0

Supply constraint

$918 rent vs county FMR

2.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Buffalo

5.7

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.8

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Buffalo

6.4

Housing court bias

Inherited from Buffalo

5.4

How Kaisertown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 44

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

53%Socioeconomic
78%Household composition
25%Racial/ethnic minority
20%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
49%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Kaisertown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

13.2%Housing insecurity
8.5%Utility-shutoff threat
14.9%Food insecurity
14.4%SNAP enrollment
8.4%Transit barriers
6.6%No health insurance
17.7%Frequent mental distress
27.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Kaisertown

The severe-burden share is 21%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. What pushes it up most is state political climate at 7.3/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.8/10.

Running cool, economic stress reads 3/10. Average gross rent is $918, 13% below the Cheektowaga average.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Buffalo. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #16,032 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Only 22% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Against average income of $63,958, annual rent is just 17%.

Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.3 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 36029011000

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029011000?

Census tract 36029011000 in the Kaisertown neighborhood scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 36029011000?

Median gross rent is $918/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 36029011000?

12.2% of residents in tract 36029011000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,994.

How socially vulnerable is tract 36029011000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 44th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 53th, household 78th, minority 25th, housing 20th.

Is tract 36029011000 considered part of Kaisertown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36029011000 fall within Kaisertown (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 36029011000 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 36029011000 compare to Buffalo overall?

Tract 36029011000 scores 6.4/10, lower than the parent city of Buffalo at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Buffalo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 36029011000 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Buffalo

Top eight tracts in Buffalo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.