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Neighborhood · Buffalo, NY

Kaisertown Eviction Risk: High

9 census tracts · pop 29,760 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8.1/10 · range 5.7–9.3

Kaisertown is a 9-tract neighborhood of Buffalo, NY, population 29,760. Scored across those inputs it reaches 8.1/10, placing it in the High tier. 46% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well above the Buffalo rate of 31.4%.

Scores across the 9 constituent tracts range from 5.7 to 9.3. A 3.6-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here. Severe burden reaches 24%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

The strongest single driver of the headline number is eviction-process difficulty at 7.7/10. On the softer side is supply constraint, at 2.5/10. The poverty rate is 20%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

Average gross rent is $884, 15% below the Buffalo average of $1,046. Among the 21 mapped neighborhoods of Buffalo, it ranks #17 by risk, the lower third. The closest comparables inside the same city are Kensington and Elmwood Village.

Rent takes 20% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. 42% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 3.6 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
8.1
High
9 tracts · population-weighted
Kaisertown vs Buffalo How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
45.7% +46%
Buffalo: 31.4%
Average gross rent
$884 -15%
Buffalo: $1,046
Average HH income
$53,180 +11%
Buffalo: $48,050
Poverty rate
20.3% -26%
Buffalo: 27.4%
Renter share
41.9% -26%
Buffalo: 57.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Kaisertown and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 9 tracts span score 5.7–9.3

Why Kaisertown scores 8.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.2–8.0 across tracts
7.3
Rent control risk
46% of income on rent · Range 4.7–7.5 across tracts
6.6
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.8–8.0 across tracts
7.7
Tenant organizing strength
42% renter households · Range 5.4–7.5 across tracts
6.9
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.6–7.5 across tracts
6.5
Economic stress
20.3% below poverty line · Range 1.6–9.6 across tracts
5.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.5–3.3 across tracts
2.5
Risk score comparison

Kaisertown vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Kaisertown score vs. parent city, state, U.S.8.1KaisertownNeighborhood7.9Parent cityhost city8.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Kaisertown?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 3.6 points from 5.7 to 9.3. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

9 tracts in Kaisertown

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
36029001000 9.3 6,225 46% $936
36029002300 9.3 3,828 60% $764
36029001100 9.3 3,323 46% $845
36029001900 9.3 3,253 37% $876
36029016700 9.3 2,146 65% $937
36029011400 6.7 2,493 52% $856
36029011000 6.4 1,994 34% $918
36029011100 6 2,180 53% $979
36029011300 5.7 4,318 28% $880
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 55

Pop-weighted across 9 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 58%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 62%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 32%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 51%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Kaisertown

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Kaisertown

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Kaisertown?

Kaisertown scores 8.1/10 (High tier) across 9 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Kaisertown compare to Buffalo overall?

Kaisertown scores 0.2 points higher than Buffalo overall (7.9/10). Renters spend 46% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $884 vs $1,046.
Q3

What is the average rent in Kaisertown?

Average gross rent in Kaisertown is $884/month (pop-weighted across 9 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Kaisertown residents are renters?

42% of Kaisertown households are renter-occupied (vs 57% in Buffalo). The neighborhood has 29,760 residents.
Q5

Is Kaisertown a high social-vulnerability area?

Kaisertown sits in the 55th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Kaisertown have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Kaisertown is census tract 36029001000 (score 9.3/10). Across the 9 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.7 to 9.3, a spread of 3.6 points.
Q7

How safe is Kaisertown for landlords?

Kaisertown carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8.1/10). Pop-weighted across 9 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Buffalo as a whole (7.9/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Kaisertown?

Kaisertown has 30,227 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (75.5%), Hispanic / Latino (8.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (7.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Kaisertown

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Buffalo

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Kaisertown.

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