Neighborhood · Ranked #947 of 84,120 nationally

Upper Falls Eviction Risk: High , Rochester

Tract 36055009200 · Monroe County, NY · pop 1,163 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

The Upper Falls neighborhood of Rochester is where census tract 36055009200 sits, home to 1,163 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 6.7/10. That is riskier than about 90% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 34% of renter households, a high level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $508 a month while the average household earns $12,245 a year, roughly 50% of income at the averages. About 94% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

8.6

High

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 32% Stable renters 62% Owners 6%

Tract context

Occupied units641

Renter share93.9%

SVI overall0.95

Poverty rate63.5%

Median income$12,245

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Rochester and the region

Centroid at 43.1678, -77.6166 · click any tract to drill in

Why Upper Falls scores 8.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Rochester

7.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.1

State political climate

New York legislature & governorship

7.3

Economic stress

63.5% poverty · this tract

10.0

Supply constraint

$508 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Rochester

7.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

7.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Rochester

7.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Rochester

7.0

How Upper Falls compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

76%Socioeconomic
100%Household composition
94%Racial/ethnic minority
80%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
3%Grade C
30%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Upper Falls. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

45.0%Housing insecurity
32.2%Utility-shutoff threat
60.7%Food insecurity
64.9%SNAP enrollment
30.4%Transit barriers
29.8%No health insurance
22.1%Frequent mental distress
51.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Upper Falls

The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Rochester eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Monroe County average of 6.1 and above the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 45.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 32.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 30% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 36055009200

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36055009200?

Census tract 36055009200 in the Upper Falls neighborhood scores 8.6/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 36055009200?

Median gross rent is $508/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 36055009200?

63.5% of residents in tract 36055009200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,163.

How socially vulnerable is tract 36055009200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 76th, household 100th, minority 94th, housing 80th.

Is tract 36055009200 considered part of Upper Falls?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36055009200 fall within Upper Falls (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 36055009200 struggle to pay rent?

About 45.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 32.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 36055009200 compare to Rochester overall?

Tract 36055009200 scores 8.6/10, lower than the parent city of Rochester at 9.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Rochester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 36055009200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 30% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Rochester

Top eight tracts in Rochester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.