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Neighborhood · Rochester, NY

Upper Falls Eviction Risk: High

3 census tracts · pop 4,764 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8.7/10 · range 8.6–8.7

Upper Falls is a black-hispanic neighborhood in Rochester with 3 census tracts and a population of 4,764 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 8.7/10 (High tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 43% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 24% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $746/month sits 31% lower than the Rochester citywide average ($1,081).

Risk score
8.7
High
3 tracts · population-weighted
Upper Falls vs Rochester How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
42.6% +33%
Rochester: 32.0%
Average gross rent
$746 -31%
Rochester: $1,081
Average HH income
$25,008 -46%
Rochester: $46,628
Poverty rate
44.9% +69%
Rochester: 26.6%
Renter share
84.2% +36%
Rochester: 61.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Upper Falls and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 8.6–8.7

Why Upper Falls scores 8.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Rent control risk
43% of income on rent · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
84% renter households · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Economic stress
44.9% below poverty line · Range 8.0–10.0 across tracts
9.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.6 across tracts
1.2
Risk score comparison

Upper Falls vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Upper Falls score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Upper Falls: 8.78.7Upper FallsNeighborhoodParent city: 9.19.1Parent cityhost cityState: 9.19.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Upper Falls?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0.1 points from 8.6 to 8.7. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Upper Falls

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
36055001300 8.7 1,860 38% $716
36055000700 8.7 1,741 53% $936
36055009200 8.6 1,163 34% $508
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 97

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 89%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 100%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 94%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 81%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Upper Falls

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Upper Falls

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Upper Falls?

Upper Falls scores 8.7/10 (High tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Upper Falls compare to Rochester overall?

Upper Falls scores 0.4 points lower than Rochester overall (9.1/10). Renters spend 43% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $746 vs $1,081.
Q3

What is the average rent in Upper Falls?

Average gross rent in Upper Falls is $746/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Upper Falls residents are renters?

84% of Upper Falls households are renter-occupied (vs 62% in Rochester). The neighborhood has 4,764 residents.
Q5

Is Upper Falls a high social-vulnerability area?

Upper Falls sits in the 97th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Upper Falls have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Upper Falls is census tract 36055001300 (score 8.7/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 8.6 to 8.7, a spread of 0.1 points.
Q7

How safe is Upper Falls for landlords?

Upper Falls carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8.7/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Rochester as a whole (9.1/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Upper Falls?

Upper Falls has 5,294 residents (Black-Hispanic Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (44.7%), Hispanic / Latino (37.9%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (11.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Upper Falls

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Rochester

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Upper Falls.

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