Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #9,043 of 84,120 nationally
Birchwood at Jericho Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 36059518502 · Nassau County, NY · pop 3,260 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Census tract 36059518502 covers part of the Birchwood at Jericho area of Jericho, NY, and scores 7.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,260. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 8.7/10.
Risk score
7.8
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units992
Renter share36.6%
SVI overall0.26
Poverty rate14.3%
Median income$123,864
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
86
th percentile
High
Within state
43
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jericho and the region
Centroid at 40.7829, -73.5255 · click any tract to drill in
Why Birchwood at Jericho scores 7.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jericho
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
14.3% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$2,346 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jericho
8.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jericho
4.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jericho
6.1
How Birchwood at Jericho compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 26
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 36%Socioeconomic
- 8%Household composition
- 67%Racial/ethnic minority
- 32%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Birchwood at Jericho. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.4%Housing insecurity
- 4.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.9%Food insecurity
- 7.7%SNAP enrollment
- 5.9%Transit barriers
- 4.6%No health insurance
- 12.2%Frequent mental distress
- 21.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Birchwood at Jericho
Cost burden runs 56% here against 44.5% across Nassau County. Against the Nassau County average of 6.5, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points.
Running hot, state political climate reads 7.3/10. The severe-burden share is 11%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. SNAP participation runs 7.7% against 15.2% nationally.
At $2,346 a month, rents run 12% under what the rest of Jericho commands. That is riskier than roughly 89% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Statute speed, court posture and rent-regulation exposure are inherited from Jericho rather than measured on these blocks; the economic and supply components are the tract-level part of the score. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $123,864. 37% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 36059518502
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36059518502?
Census tract 36059518502 in the Birchwood at Jericho neighborhood scores 7.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36059518502?
Median gross rent is $2,346/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36059518502?
14.3% of residents in tract 36059518502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,260.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36059518502?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 26th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 8th, minority 67th, housing 32th.
Q5
Is tract 36059518502 considered part of Birchwood at Jericho?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36059518502 fall within Birchwood at Jericho (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 36059518502 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 36059518502 compare to Jericho overall?
Tract 36059518502 scores 7.8/10, higher than the parent city of Jericho at 6.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jericho; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Jericho
Top eight tracts in Jericho ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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