4 census tracts · pop 21,789 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.5/10
· range 5.9–7.8
Birchwood at Jericho is a 4-tract neighborhood of Jericho, NY, population 21,789. The Eviction Risk Score is 6.5/10, in the Elevated tier. Against a Jericho baseline of 38.6%, 59% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
Severe burden reaches 36%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1.4/10.
Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 5.9 to 7.8, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. The voucher gap is 22.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. At $3,160 a month, rents sit 19% over what the rest of Jericho commands.
On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 7.4/10. Running hot is supply constraint at 7.2/10. 4.1% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, below a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
4.7% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. Only 20% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $165,278.
Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.9 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
6.5
Elevated
4 tracts · population-weighted
Birchwood at Jericho vs JerichoHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority71%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport46%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Birchwood at Jericho
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
8.4%Housing insecurity
4.1%Utility shutoff threat
10.1%Food insecurity
6.0%SNAP enrollment
5.0%No health insurance
21.0%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Birchwood at Jericho
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Birchwood at Jericho?
Birchwood at Jericho scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Birchwood at Jericho compare to Jericho overall?
Birchwood at Jericho scores 0.4 points lower than Jericho overall (6.9/10). Renters spend 59% of income on rent vs 39% citywide. Average rent: $3,160 vs $2,661.
Q3
What is the average rent in Birchwood at Jericho?
Average gross rent in Birchwood at Jericho is $3,160/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Birchwood at Jericho residents are renters?
20% of Birchwood at Jericho households are renter-occupied (vs 20% in Jericho). The neighborhood has 21,789 residents.
Q5
Is Birchwood at Jericho a high social-vulnerability area?
Birchwood at Jericho sits in the 38th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Birchwood at Jericho have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Birchwood at Jericho is census tract 36059518502 (score 7.8/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.9 to 7.8, a spread of 1.9 points.
Q7
How safe is Birchwood at Jericho for landlords?
Birchwood at Jericho carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.5/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Jericho as a whole (6.9/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Birchwood at Jericho?
Birchwood at Jericho has 21,988 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (39.9%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (37.8%), Hispanic / Latino (11%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
