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Neighborhood · Niagara Falls, NY

Little Italy Eviction Risk: Elevated

11 census tracts · pop 24,985 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.7/10 · range 6.7–8.4

Little Italy is a white-black neighborhood in Niagara Falls with 11 census tracts and a population of 24,985 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 7.7/10 (Elevated tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 52% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 25% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $698/month sits 15% lower than the Niagara Falls citywide average ($823).

Risk score
7.7
Elevated
11 tracts · population-weighted
Little Italy vs Niagara Falls How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
51.9% +43%
Niagara Falls: 36.2%
Average gross rent
$698 -15%
Niagara Falls: $823
Average HH income
$43,145 -11%
Niagara Falls: $48,535
Poverty rate
28.7% +21%
Niagara Falls: 23.7%
Renter share
49.8% +20%
Niagara Falls: 41.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Little Italy and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 11 tracts span score 6.7–8.4

Why Little Italy scores 7.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Rent control risk
52% of income on rent · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Tenant organizing strength
50% renter households · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 8.4–8.4 across tracts
8.4
Economic stress
28.7% below poverty line · Range 3.4–10.0 across tracts
6.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–5.0 across tracts
1.9
Risk score comparison

Little Italy vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Little Italy score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Little Italy: 7.77.7Little ItalyNeighborhoodParent city: 8.48.4Parent cityhost cityState: 9.19.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Little Italy?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.7 points from 6.7 to 8.4. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

11 tracts in Little Italy

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
36063020900 8.4 2,554 57% $508
36063020500 8.3 2,272 55% $583
36063021300 8.3 2,270 76% $819
36063021200 8.2 2,140 59% $602
36063020700 8.1 2,631 77% $868
36063020400 7.7 1,507 23%
36063021700 7.4 3,230 42% $860
36063021000 7.4 2,843 44% $816
36063020600 7.4 1,353 45% $830
36063021400 6.8 2,104 32% $890
36063020300 6.7 2,081 49% $627
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 70

Pop-weighted across 11 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 70%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 73%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 60%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 53%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Little Italy

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Little Italy

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Little Italy?

Little Italy scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier) across 11 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Little Italy compare to Niagara Falls overall?

Little Italy scores 0.7 points lower than Niagara Falls overall (8.4/10). Renters spend 52% of income on rent vs 36% citywide. Average rent: $698 vs $823.
Q3

What is the average rent in Little Italy?

Average gross rent in Little Italy is $698/month (pop-weighted across 11 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Little Italy residents are renters?

50% of Little Italy households are renter-occupied (vs 42% in Niagara Falls). The neighborhood has 24,985 residents.
Q5

Is Little Italy a high social-vulnerability area?

Little Italy sits in the 70th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Little Italy have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Little Italy is census tract 36063020900 (score 8.4/10). Across the 11 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.7 to 8.4, a spread of 1.7 points.
Q7

How safe is Little Italy for landlords?

Little Italy carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.7/10). Pop-weighted across 11 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Niagara Falls as a whole (8.4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Little Italy?

Little Italy has 24,141 residents (White-Black Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (54.9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (23.4%), Hispanic / Latino (9.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Little Italy

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Niagara Falls

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Little Italy.

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