11 census tracts · pop 24,985 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8.3/10
· range 7.5–8.5
Little Italy takes in 11 census tracts of Niagara Falls, NY, population 24,985. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 8.3/10, in the High tier. Cost burden runs about half against 36.2% citywide, putting Little Italy 15.7% over its own city.
Severe burden reaches 25%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10. On the high side is housing-court posture at 8.4/10.
The poverty rate is 29%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 8.2/10. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 7.5 to 8.5, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk.
CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 23.2% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Food insecurity affects 29.4% of adults, 11.6 points above the national rate.
At $698 a month, rents sit 15% under what the rest of Niagara Falls commands. Against average income of $43,145, annual rent is only 19%, a wide affordability cushion.
50% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
8.3
High
11 tracts · population-weighted
Little Italy vs Niagara FallsHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority60%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport53%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Little Italy
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
23.1%Housing insecurity
16.2%Utility shutoff threat
29.3%Food insecurity
31.7%SNAP enrollment
9.2%No health insurance
35.9%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Little Italy
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Little Italy?
Little Italy scores 8.3/10 (High tier) across 11 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Little Italy compare to Niagara Falls overall?
Little Italy scores 1.2 points higher than Niagara Falls overall (7.1/10). Renters spend 52% of income on rent vs 36% citywide. Average rent: $698 vs $823.
Q3
What is the average rent in Little Italy?
Average gross rent in Little Italy is $698/month (pop-weighted across 11 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Little Italy residents are renters?
50% of Little Italy households are renter-occupied (vs 42% in Niagara Falls). The neighborhood has 24,985 residents.
Q5
Is Little Italy a high social-vulnerability area?
Little Italy sits in the 70th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Little Italy have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Little Italy is census tract 36063021700 (score 8.5/10). Across the 11 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 7.5 to 8.5, a spread of 1 points.
Q7
How safe is Little Italy for landlords?
Little Italy carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8.3/10). Pop-weighted across 11 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Niagara Falls as a whole (7.1/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Little Italy?
Little Italy has 24,141 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (54.9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (23.4%), Hispanic / Latino (9.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
