Little Italy Eviction Risk: High , Niagara Falls

77% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Niagara County average of 40.9%. It sits 2.1 points above the Niagara County average of 6.4.

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10. The poverty rate is 34%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running hot, economic stress reads 8.5/10.

SNAP participation runs 31.2% against 15.2% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 8.4/10.

Housing insecurity runs 23.4% against 14.2% nationally. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Niagara Falls. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 94% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $868, close to the Niagara Falls average.

Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $46,523.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.