Near Northeast Eviction Risk: High , Syracuse

What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10. SNAP participation runs 45.7% against 15.2% nationally.

The poverty rate is 51%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 94% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Against the Onondaga County average of 6.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.5 points. 28% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10.

Set annual rent against average income of $23,606 and the ratio lands at 38%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. At $751 a month, rents run 28% under what the rest of Syracuse commands.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 22.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. On the high side, state political climate reads 7.3/10. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Syracuse. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

That is riskier than roughly 95% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.