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Neighborhood · Syracuse, NY

Near Northeast Eviction Risk: High

4 census tracts · pop 9,423 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 9/10 · range 8.7–9.1

Near Northeast is a 4-tract neighborhood of Syracuse, NY, population 9,423. Scored across those inputs it reaches 9/10, placing it in the High tier. 48% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well above the Syracuse rate of 32.9%.

Severe burden reaches 28%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. 82% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.

The poverty rate is 34%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. SNAP participation is 34.3% of households versus 15.2% nationally. The clearest offset is supply constraint, at 1.9/10.

Food insecurity affects 32.7% of adults, 14.9 points above the national rate. Sitting well above the midpoint is economic stress at 7.5/10.

At $905 a month, rents sit 13% under what the rest of Syracuse commands. Running hot is eviction-process difficulty at 7/10.

That places it #14 of 26 neighborhoods in Syracuse. For a like-for-like read, Salt Springs and Westside score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 9.1/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
9
High
4 tracts · population-weighted
Near Northeast vs Syracuse How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
47.5% +44%
Syracuse: 32.9%
Average gross rent
$905 -13%
Syracuse: $1,039
Average HH income
$40,658 -11%
Syracuse: $45,845
Poverty rate
33.5% +13%
Syracuse: 29.6%
Renter share
81.8% +40%
Syracuse: 58.4%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Near Northeast and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 8.7–9.1

Why Near Northeast scores 9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Rent control risk
48% of income on rent · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
82% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Economic stress
33.5% below poverty line · Range 4.1–10.0 across tracts
7.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–3.4 across tracts
1.9
Risk score comparison

Near Northeast vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Near Northeast score vs. parent city, state, U.S.9.0Near NortheastNeighborhood7.7Parent cityhost city8.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Near Northeast?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0.4 points from 8.7 to 9.1. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

4 tracts in Near Northeast

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
36067001600 9.1 3,566 50% $869
36067002400 9.1 1,962 38% $1,104
36067002300 9.1 1,549 63% $751
36067001500 8.7 2,346 42% $895
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 90

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 86%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 71%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 69%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 88%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Near Northeast

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Near Northeast

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Near Northeast?

Near Northeast scores 9/10 (High tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Near Northeast compare to Syracuse overall?

Near Northeast scores 1.3 points higher than Syracuse overall (7.7/10). Renters spend 48% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $905 vs $1,039.
Q3

What is the average rent in Near Northeast?

Average gross rent in Near Northeast is $905/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Near Northeast residents are renters?

82% of Near Northeast households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Syracuse). The neighborhood has 9,423 residents.
Q5

Is Near Northeast a high social-vulnerability area?

Near Northeast sits in the 90th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Near Northeast have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Near Northeast is census tract 36067001600 (score 9.1/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 8.7 to 9.1, a spread of 0.4 points.
Q7

How safe is Near Northeast for landlords?

Near Northeast carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (9/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Syracuse as a whole (7.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Near Northeast?

Near Northeast has 9,844 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (43.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (26.6%), Hispanic / Latino (14.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Near Northeast

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Syracuse

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Near Northeast.

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