Near Eastside Eviction Risk: High , Syracuse

Annualized rent equals 59% of average household income of $22,358, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 54%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

This is renter territory: 95% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Against the Onondaga County average of 6.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.5 points. Against Onondaga County at 43.5%, 58% of renters here are cost-burdened.

SNAP participation runs 30.4% against 15.2% nationally. On the high side, state political climate reads 7.3/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 15.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

That is riskier than roughly 95% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.6/10. Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.