Near Eastside Eviction Risk: High

The strongest single driver of the headline number is economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 47%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

Severe burden reaches 35%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. 84% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.

Annualized rent equals 37% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with. Food insecurity affects 31.4% of adults, 13.6 points above the national rate. 16.6% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Running cool is supply constraint, at 2.9/10. Sitting well above the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty at 7/10. That places it #1 of 26 neighborhoods in Syracuse.

The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0 points apart at the extremes. Average gross rent runs $1,036, close to the Syracuse average.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.