Near Eastside Eviction Risk: High , Syracuse

The poverty rate is 43%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. It sits 2.5 points above the Onondaga County average of 6.6. 27% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

This is renter territory: 77% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Cost burden runs about half here against 43.5% across Onondaga County. Housing insecurity runs 25.3% against 14.2% nationally.

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.6/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, state political climate reads 7.3/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 18.2% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. On the national scale it lands near the 95th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

Average gross rent is $1,002, close to the Syracuse average.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.