Locust Manor Eviction Risk: High , New York

29% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.1/10.

At $1,417 a month, rents run 22% under what the rest of New York commands. Food insecurity runs 28.4% against 17.8% nationally.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 94 filings here across 7 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2000 at 14.3% of renter households.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 14.2% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Queens. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 8.0% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 100% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.