Within neighborhood
83
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally
Locust Manor Eviction Risk: High , New York
Tract 36081042600 · Queens County, NY · pop 500 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Census tract 36081042600 covers part of the Locust Manor area of New York, NY, and scores 9.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 500. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10.
Risk score
9.9
High
Confidence 60% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0%
Stable renters 0%
Owners 100%
Tract context
SVI overall-10.00
Poverty rate84.9%
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
92
th percentile
Very High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across New York and the region
Centroid at 40.6889, -73.7702 · click any tract to drill in
Why Locust Manor scores 9.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from New York
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
84.9% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from New York
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New York
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from New York
7.1
How Locust Manor compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: -1,000
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- -1,000%Socioeconomic
- -1,000%Household composition
- 77%Racial/ethnic minority
- -1,000%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 12%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 20Total filings over 7 yrs
- 0.00%Avg annual filing rate
- 0.0%Peak (2000)
- 2Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 71% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Locust Manor. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 20.1%Housing insecurity
- 16.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 43.1%Food insecurity
- 50.1%SNAP enrollment
- 20.2%Transit barriers
- 13.8%No health insurance
- 10.3%Frequent mental distress
- 67.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Locust Manor
Food insecurity runs 43.1% against 17.8% nationally. The poverty rate is 85%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.8/10.
On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.1/10. The filing record is not thin: 20 evictions over 7 years of observation. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 16.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. Nationally it ranks #1 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 2.2 points hotter. Model confidence here is 60%, lower than typical because some ACS inputs for this tract carry wide margins of error, so read the score as a band, not a point. It tracks the Queens County average of 9.3 closely.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 36081042600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36081042600?
Census tract 36081042600 in the Locust Manor neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 36081042600?
84.9% of residents in tract 36081042600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 500.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 36081042600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the -1000th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic -1000th, household -1000th, minority 77th, housing -1000th.
Q4
Is tract 36081042600 considered part of Locust Manor?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36081042600 fall within Locust Manor (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 36081042600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 20 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 36081042600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.00% of renter households, peaking at 0.0% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 36081042600 struggle to pay rent?
About 20.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 36081042600 compare to New York overall?
Tract 36081042600 scores 9.9/10, higher than the parent city of New York at 9.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New York eviction laws; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 36081042600 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in New York
Top eight tracts in New York ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NY
Corona
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
Sheepshead Bay
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
Flushing Chinatown
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
Mott Haven
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
Wave Crest
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
Wakefield
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
Manhattanville
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
Ravenswood
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
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