Neighborhood · Ranked #2,339 of 84,120 nationally

Locust Manor Eviction Risk: High , New York

Tract 36081028802 · Queens County, NY · pop 2,336 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

36081028802 is a census tract in the Locust Manor area of New York, NY. It scores 9.7/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,336 residents. Cost burden runs 68% here against 49.8% across Queens County.

Risk score

9.7

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 10% Owners 70%

Tract context

Occupied units631

Renter share29.6%

SVI overall0.85

Poverty rate11.1%

Median income$79,519

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across New York and the region

Centroid at 40.6805, -73.7826 · click any tract to drill in

Why Locust Manor scores 9.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from New York

8.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.3

State political climate

New York legislature & governorship

7.3

Economic stress

11.1% poverty · this tract

2.8

Supply constraint

$2,371 rent vs county FMR

3.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from New York

6.9

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from New York

9.8

Housing court bias

Inherited from New York

7.1

How Locust Manor compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 85

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

86%Socioeconomic
89%Household composition
98%Racial/ethnic minority
49%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
99%Grade C
1%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Locust Manor. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

33.4%Housing insecurity
21.0%Utility-shutoff threat
40.7%Food insecurity
39.2%SNAP enrollment
19.9%Transit barriers
11.9%No health insurance
19.1%Frequent mental distress
37.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Locust Manor

The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10. SNAP participation runs 39.2% against 15.2% nationally.

The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Annualized rent equals 36% of average household income of $79,519, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

At $2,371 a month, rents run 30% over what the rest of New York commands. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.1/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 21.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Queens. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. On the national scale it lands near the 97th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 8.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 2.0 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 36081028802

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36081028802?

Census tract 36081028802 in the Locust Manor neighborhood scores 9.7/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 36081028802?

Median gross rent is $2,371/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 36081028802?

11.1% of residents in tract 36081028802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,336.

How socially vulnerable is tract 36081028802?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 89th, minority 98th, housing 49th.

Is tract 36081028802 considered part of Locust Manor?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36081028802 fall within Locust Manor (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 36081028802 struggle to pay rent?

About 33.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 21.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 36081028802 compare to New York overall?

Tract 36081028802 scores 9.7/10, right in line with the parent city of New York at 9.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New York eviction laws; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 36081028802 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in New York

Top eight tracts in New York ranked by composite eviction-risk score.