Arverne View Eviction Risk: High , New York

Average gross rent is $625, 66% below the New York average. Food insecurity runs 58.1% against 17.8% nationally.

The poverty rate is 58%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. 100% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.8/10.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 31.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The severe-burden share is 26%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Annualized rent equals 36% of average household income of $20,744, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Queens. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 100% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.