Within parent city
57
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #13,812 of 84,120 nationally
Central Islip Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 36103146202 · Suffolk County, NY · pop 5,935
Tract 36103146202 sits in Central Islip eviction risk, NY, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.8/10. It is home to 5,935 residents. The severe-burden share is 73%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
6.8
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 2%
Owners 93%
Tract context
Occupied units1,214
Renter share7.4%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate9.7%
Median income$127,308
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
74
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
36
th percentile
Low
National
84
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Central Islip and the region
Centroid at 40.7760, -73.2111 · click any tract to drill in
Why Central Islip scores 6.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Central Islip
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
9.7% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$2,115 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Central Islip
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Central Islip
5.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Central Islip
7.0
How Central Islip compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 68
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 74%Socioeconomic
- 47%Household composition
- 93%Racial/ethnic minority
- 44%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 24.7%Housing insecurity
- 12.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 27.8%Food insecurity
- 20.2%SNAP enrollment
- 12.6%Transit barriers
- 17.7%No health insurance
- 16.7%Frequent mental distress
- 31.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Central Islip
about three-quarters of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Suffolk County average of 51.3%. The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 9/10.
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.4/10. Housing insecurity runs 24.7% against 14.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 27.8% against 17.8% nationally.
Sitting well above the midpoint, state political climate reads 7.3/10. On the national scale it lands near the 84th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 7% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.1/10. Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Suffolk County average of 6.3 closely.
Average gross rent is $2,115, close to the Central Islip average.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 36103146202
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36103146202?
Census tract 36103146202 in Central Islip scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36103146202?
Median gross rent is $2,115/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 73% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36103146202?
9.7% of residents in tract 36103146202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,935.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36103146202?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 47th, minority 93th, housing 44th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 36103146202 struggle to pay rent?
About 24.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 36103146202 compare to Central Islip overall?
Tract 36103146202 scores 6.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Central Islip at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Central Islip eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Central Islip
Top eight tracts in Central Islip ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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