Census Tract · Ranked #13,119 of 84,120 nationally

Fayetteville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 37051002301 · Cumberland County, NC · pop 3,231

Census tract 37051002301 covers Fayetteville in Cumberland County, home to 3,231 residents. For landlords it grades 5.5/10, a moderate reading. That is riskier than about 56% of US census tracts.

40% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $952 a month against an average household income of $40,379 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. About 63% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

5.9

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 38% Owners 37%

Tract context

Occupied units1,600

Renter share63.2%

SVI overall0.96

Poverty rate33.1%

Median income$40,379

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Fayetteville and the region

Centroid at 35.0929, -78.9373 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fayetteville scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Fayetteville

3.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.8

State political climate

North Carolina legislature & governorship

2.3

Economic stress

33.1% poverty · this tract

8.3

Supply constraint

$952 rent vs county FMR

2.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from Fayetteville

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Fayetteville

2.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Fayetteville

3.0

How Fayetteville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

81%Socioeconomic
96%Household composition
85%Racial/ethnic minority
95%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

20.7%Housing insecurity
16.0%Utility-shutoff threat
26.3%Food insecurity
25.2%SNAP enrollment
13.9%Transit barriers
11.4%No health insurance
18.9%Frequent mental distress
39.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fayetteville

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 8.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Fayetteville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Cumberland County average of 5.4 and in line with the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 20.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 16.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 96th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 37051002301

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37051002301?

Census tract 37051002301 in Fayetteville scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 37051002301?

Median gross rent is $952/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 37051002301?

33.1% of residents in tract 37051002301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,231.

How socially vulnerable is tract 37051002301?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 96th, minority 85th, housing 95th.

What share of households in tract 37051002301 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 37051002301 compare to Fayetteville overall?

Tract 37051002301 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Fayetteville at 3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fayetteville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fayetteville

Top eight tracts in Fayetteville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.