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Census Tract · Ranked #11,930 of 84,120 nationally

Fayetteville Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 37051001000 · Cumberland County, NC · pop 2,397

Fayetteville anchors census tract 37051001000, which lands at 5.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 71% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

56% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 34% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $964 a month against an average household income of $32,500 a year, roughly 36% of income at the averages. Renters make up 86% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 48% Stable renters 38% Owners 14%
Tract context
Occupied units1,166
Renter share86.2%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate35.0%
Median income$32,500

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 58 tracts In Fayetteville
Very High
Within county
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 81 tracts In Cumberland County
Very High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#56 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
Very High
National
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#11,930 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fayetteville and the region

Centroid at 35.0832, -78.9111 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fayetteville scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fayetteville
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
35.0% poverty · this tract
8.8
Supply constraint
$964 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fayetteville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fayetteville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fayetteville
3.0

How Fayetteville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Fayetteville risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.06.0This tracttract 001000Fayetteville: 3.03.0Fayettevilleparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,992Total filings over 16 yrs
  • 24.44%Avg annual filing rate
  • 56.0%Peak (2003)
  • 128Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 370510010002002: 294 filings (46.52/100 renter HHs)2003: 354 filings (56.01/100 renter HHs)2005: 260 filings (33.90/100 renter HHs)2006: 252 filings (32.86/100 renter HHs)2007: 189 filings (24.64/100 renter HHs)2008: 181 filings (23.60/100 renter HHs)2009: 182 filings (23.73/100 renter HHs)2010: 183 filings (23.89/100 renter HHs)2011: 170 filings (19.19/100 renter HHs)2012: 166 filings (18.74/100 renter HHs)2013: 133 filings (15.01/100 renter HHs)2014: 133 filings (15.01/100 renter HHs)2015: 113 filings (12.75/100 renter HHs)2016: 126 filings (14.91/100 renter HHs)2017: 128 filings (15.15/100 renter HHs)2018: 128 filings (15.15/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 56% over the past 16 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fayetteville

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 8.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Fayetteville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Cumberland County average of 5.4 and above the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 2,992 eviction filings here over 16 tracked years, with about 24.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 56.0% of renter households in 2003.

In CDC survey modeling, about 26.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 20.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 37051001000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37051001000?

Census tract 37051001000 in Fayetteville scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37051001000?

Median gross rent is $964/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37051001000?

35.0% of residents in tract 37051001000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,397.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37051001000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 70th, minority 87th, housing 99th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37051001000?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,992 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 37051001000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 24.44% of renter households, peaking at 56.0% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 37051001000 struggle to pay rent?

About 26.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 20.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 37051001000 compare to Fayetteville overall?

Tract 37051001000 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Fayetteville at 3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fayetteville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fayetteville

Top eight tracts in Fayetteville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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