Winston-Salem Eviction Risk: Moderate

The severe-burden share is 36%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 45%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 31.2% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 9.5/10. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10.

Set annual rent against average income of $35,022 and the ratio lands at 34%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. It sits 1.1 points above the Forsyth County average of 3.9. Adults with no health insurance runs 20.5% against 11.3% nationally.

The filing record is not thin: 749 evictions over 4 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2005, when 40.9% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Winston-Salem. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 28.7% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 61st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.