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Neighborhood · Ranked #26,446 of 84,120 nationally

Moravian Forest Eviction Risk: Moderate , Winston-Salem

Tract 37067002804 · Forsyth County, NC · pop 3,983 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

The Moderate-tier score of 5.7/10 for census tract 37067002804 reflects conditions in the Moravian Forest area of Winston-Salem, North Carolina. That is riskier than about 64% of US census tracts.

About 72% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 55% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,036 a month while the average household earns $50,568 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 11% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 3% Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units1,321
Renter share10.7%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate20.2%
Median income$50,568

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Moravian Forest
Moderate
Within parent city
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#25 of 65 tracts In Winston-Salem
Elevated
Within county
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#26 of 95 tracts In Forsyth County
Elevated
Within state
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#521 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Winston-Salem and the region

Centroid at 36.1849, -80.3099 · click any tract to drill in

Why Moravian Forest scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Winston-Salem
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
20.2% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$1,036 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Winston-Salem
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Winston-Salem
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Winston-Salem
3.5

How Moravian Forest compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Moravian Forest risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.94.9This tracttract 002804Winston-Salem: 3.13.1Winston-Salemparent cityCounty: 4.04.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 79

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 143Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 13.11%Avg annual filing rate
  • 16.4%Peak (2012)
  • 59Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2005 to 2012
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 370670028042005: 30 filings (15.23/100 renter HHs)2006: 23 filings (11.68/100 renter HHs)2010: 31 filings (9.12/100 renter HHs)2012: 59 filings (16.39/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 97% over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Moravian Forest

What moves this score most is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Winston-Salem eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Forsyth County average of 5.5 and above the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 143 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 13.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 16.4% of renter households in 2012.

In CDC survey modeling, about 16.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 37067002804

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37067002804?

Census tract 37067002804 in the Moravian Forest neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37067002804?

Median gross rent is $1,036/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37067002804?

20.2% of residents in tract 37067002804 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,983.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37067002804?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 88th, minority 71th, housing 28th.
Q5

Is tract 37067002804 considered part of Moravian Forest?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37067002804 fall within Moravian Forest (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37067002804?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 143 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 37067002804 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.11% of renter households, peaking at 16.4% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 37067002804 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 37067002804 compare to Winston-Salem overall?

Tract 37067002804 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Winston-Salem at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Winston-Salem eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Winston-Salem

Top eight tracts in Winston-Salem ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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