Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,930 of 84,120 nationally
Autumn Oaks Eviction Risk: Elevated , Winston-Salem
Tract 37067003404 · Forsyth County, NC · pop 4,407 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
How risky is the Autumn Oaks neighborhood of Winston-Salem for landlords? Census tract 37067003404 scores 6.2/10, the Elevated tier. That is riskier than about 80% of US census tracts.
55% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $839 a month against an average household income of $33,962 a year, roughly 30% of income at the averages. Renters make up 60% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 40%
Tract context
Occupied units1,484
Renter share60.4%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate39.5%
Median income$33,962
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
95
th percentile
Very High
Within county
96
th percentile
Very High
Within state
98
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Winston-Salem and the region
Centroid at 36.0683, -80.1940 · click any tract to drill in
Why Autumn Oaks scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Winston-Salem
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
39.5% poverty · this tract
9.9
Supply constraint
$839 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Winston-Salem
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Winston-Salem
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Winston-Salem
3.5
How Autumn Oaks compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 97
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 99%Socioeconomic
- 89%Household composition
- 90%Racial/ethnic minority
- 84%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 28%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,111Total filings over 4 yrs
- 34.95%Avg annual filing rate
- 49.6%Peak (2010)
- 259Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 19% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Autumn Oaks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 34.2%Housing insecurity
- 26.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 47.5%Food insecurity
- 47.9%SNAP enrollment
- 24.0%Transit barriers
- 28.0%No health insurance
- 22.2%Frequent mental distress
- 48.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Autumn Oaks
What moves this score most is economic stress at 9.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Winston-Salem eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Forsyth County average of 5.5 and above the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
In CDC survey modeling, about 34.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 26.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 37067003404
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37067003404?
Census tract 37067003404 in the Autumn Oaks neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37067003404?
Median gross rent is $839/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37067003404?
39.5% of residents in tract 37067003404 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,407.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37067003404?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 89th, minority 90th, housing 84th.
Q5
Is tract 37067003404 considered part of Autumn Oaks?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37067003404 fall within Autumn Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37067003404?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,111 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 37067003404 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 34.95% of renter households, peaking at 49.6% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 37067003404 struggle to pay rent?
About 34.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 26.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 37067003404 compare to Winston-Salem overall?
Tract 37067003404 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Winston-Salem at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Winston-Salem eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 37067003404 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Winston-Salem
Top eight tracts in Winston-Salem ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NC
Wake Forest Innovation Quarter
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NC
Tower Gate
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NC
37067000500
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NC
Wake Forest Innovation Quarter
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NC
Monticello Park
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NC
37067000400
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NC
Tower Gate
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NC
Wake Forest Innovation Quarter
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
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