Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally
Autumn Oaks Eviction Risk: Moderate , Winston-Salem
Tract 37067003404 · Forsyth County, NC · pop 4,407 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Census tract 37067003404 covers part of the Autumn Oaks area of Winston-Salem, NC, and scores 5/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,407. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 9.9/10.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 40%
Tract context
Occupied units1,484
Renter share60.4%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate39.5%
Median income$33,962
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
98
th percentile
Very High
Within state
80
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Winston-Salem and the region
Centroid at 36.0683, -80.1940 · click any tract to drill in
Why Autumn Oaks scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Winston-Salem
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
39.5% poverty · this tract
9.9
Supply constraint
$839 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Winston-Salem
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Winston-Salem
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Winston-Salem
3.5
How Autumn Oaks compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 97
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 99%Socioeconomic
- 89%Household composition
- 90%Racial/ethnic minority
- 84%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 28%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,111Total filings over 4 yrs
- 34.95%Avg annual filing rate
- 49.6%Peak (2010)
- 259Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 19% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Autumn Oaks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 34.2%Housing insecurity
- 26.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 47.5%Food insecurity
- 47.9%SNAP enrollment
- 24.0%Transit barriers
- 28.0%No health insurance
- 22.2%Frequent mental distress
- 48.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Autumn Oaks
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 9.5/10. Cost burden runs 55% here against 41.1% across Forsyth County. The poverty rate is 39%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. Disability prevalence runs 48.9% against 31.5% nationally.
Adults with no health insurance runs 28.0% against 11.3% nationally. The severe-burden share is 18%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. At $839 a month, rents run 23% under what the rest of Winston-Salem commands.
It sits 1.1 points above the Forsyth County average of 3.9. Court records carry 1,111 eviction filings across 4 observed years.
The worst year on record was 2010, when 49.6% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 37067003404
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37067003404?
Census tract 37067003404 in the Autumn Oaks neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37067003404?
Median gross rent is $839/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37067003404?
39.5% of residents in tract 37067003404 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,407.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37067003404?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 89th, minority 90th, housing 84th.
Q5
Is tract 37067003404 considered part of Autumn Oaks?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37067003404 fall within Autumn Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37067003404?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,111 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 37067003404 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 34.95% of renter households, peaking at 49.6% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 37067003404 struggle to pay rent?
About 34.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 26.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 37067003404 compare to Winston-Salem overall?
Tract 37067003404 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Winston-Salem at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Winston-Salem eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 37067003404 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Winston-Salem
Top eight tracts in Winston-Salem ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NC
Wake Forest Innovation Quarter
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Weston
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Wake Forest Innovation Quarter
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Konnoak Village
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Reynolds Manor
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Wake Forest Innovation Quarter
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
West End
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Autumn Oaks
5
/ 10 · Moderate
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