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Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally

Autumn Oaks Eviction Risk: Moderate , Winston-Salem

Tract 37067003403 · Forsyth County, NC · pop 2,429 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

37067003403 is a census tract in the Autumn Oaks area of Winston-Salem, NC. It scores 5/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,429. Against Forsyth County at 41.1%, 63% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 45% Stable renters 26% Owners 29%
Tract context
Occupied units1,081
Renter share71.0%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate38.0%
Median income$45,077

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Autumn Oaks
Very High
Within parent city
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#18 of 65 tracts In Winston-Salem
Elevated
Within county
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#14 of 95 tracts In Forsyth County
High
Within state
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#538 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Winston-Salem and the region

Centroid at 36.0576, -80.1860 · click any tract to drill in

Why Autumn Oaks scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Winston-Salem
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
38.0% poverty · this tract
9.5
Supply constraint
$737 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Winston-Salem
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Winston-Salem
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Winston-Salem
3.5

How Autumn Oaks compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Autumn Oaks risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.0This tracttract 0034033.6Winston-Salemparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 88

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,441Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 59.88%Avg annual filing rate
  • 82.2%Peak (2005)
  • 305Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2005 to 2012
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 37067003403
Filings dropped 31% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Autumn Oaks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Autumn Oaks

What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.5/10. Running hot, economic stress reads 9.5/10. The poverty rate is 38%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Food insecurity runs 36.3% against 17.8% nationally. At $737 a month, rents run 32% under what the rest of Winston-Salem commands.

SNAP participation runs 32.7% against 15.2% nationally. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. 22% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

71% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Against the Forsyth County average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. The filing record is not thin: 1,441 evictions over 4 years of observation.

The worst year on record was 2005, when 82.2% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 59.9% of renter households face a filing.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 37067003403

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37067003403?

Census tract 37067003403 in the Autumn Oaks neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37067003403?

Median gross rent is $737/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37067003403?

38.0% of residents in tract 37067003403 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,429.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37067003403?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 79th, minority 76th, housing 77th.
Q5

Is tract 37067003403 considered part of Autumn Oaks?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37067003403 fall within Autumn Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37067003403?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,441 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 37067003403 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 59.88% of renter households, peaking at 82.2% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 37067003403 struggle to pay rent?

About 27.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 37067003403 compare to Winston-Salem overall?

Tract 37067003403 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Winston-Salem at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Winston-Salem eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Winston-Salem

Top eight tracts in Winston-Salem ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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