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Neighborhood · Ranked #15,522 of 84,120 nationally

Autumn Oaks Eviction Risk: Moderate , Winston-Salem

Tract 37067003403 · Forsyth County, NC · pop 2,429 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Tract 37067003403, home to 2,429 residents in the Autumn Oaks neighborhood of Winston-Salem, scores 6.1/10 for landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #19,287 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

63% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $737 monthly, set against $45,077 in average yearly household income, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 71% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 45% Stable renters 26% Owners 29%
Tract context
Occupied units1,081
Renter share71.0%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate38.0%
Median income$45,077

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Autumn Oaks
Very Low
Within parent city
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#13 of 65 tracts In Winston-Salem
High
Within county
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 95 tracts In Forsyth County
High
Within state
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#184 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Winston-Salem and the region

Centroid at 36.0576, -80.1860 · click any tract to drill in

Why Autumn Oaks scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Winston-Salem
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
38.0% poverty · this tract
9.5
Supply constraint
$737 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Winston-Salem
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Winston-Salem
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Winston-Salem
3.5

How Autumn Oaks compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Autumn Oaks risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.75.7This tracttract 003403Winston-Salem: 3.13.1Winston-Salemparent cityCounty: 4.04.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 88

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,441Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 59.88%Avg annual filing rate
  • 82.2%Peak (2005)
  • 305Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2005 to 2012
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 370670034032005: 441 filings (82.20/100 renter HHs)2006: 388 filings (72.32/100 renter HHs)2010: 307 filings (43.48/100 renter HHs)2012: 305 filings (41.50/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 31% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Autumn Oaks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Autumn Oaks

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 9.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Winston-Salem eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Forsyth County average of 5.5 and above the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 27.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 18.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 88th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 37067003403

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37067003403?

Census tract 37067003403 in the Autumn Oaks neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37067003403?

Median gross rent is $737/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37067003403?

38.0% of residents in tract 37067003403 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,429.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37067003403?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 79th, minority 76th, housing 77th.
Q5

Is tract 37067003403 considered part of Autumn Oaks?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37067003403 fall within Autumn Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37067003403?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,441 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 37067003403 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 59.88% of renter households, peaking at 82.2% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 37067003403 struggle to pay rent?

About 27.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 37067003403 compare to Winston-Salem overall?

Tract 37067003403 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Winston-Salem at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Winston-Salem eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Winston-Salem

Top eight tracts in Winston-Salem ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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