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Neighborhood · Ranked #13,119 of 84,120 nationally

Warnersville Eviction Risk: Moderate , Greensboro

Tract 37081011500 · Guilford County, NC · pop 2,790 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Eviction risk in the Warnersville neighborhood of Greensboro centers on tract 37081011500, which scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 2,790 residents. That is riskier than about 82% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 42% of renter households, a severe level, and 29% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $965 a month while the average household earns $37,825 a year, roughly 31% of income at the averages. About 62% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 36% Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units1,156
Renter share62.0%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate49.3%
Median income$37,825

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Warnersville
Moderate
Within parent city
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 82 tracts In Greensboro
High
Within county
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#12 of 126 tracts In Guilford County
Very High
Within state
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#90 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Greensboro and the region

Centroid at 36.0568, -79.8093 · click any tract to drill in

Why Warnersville scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Greensboro
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
49.3% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$965 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Greensboro
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Greensboro
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Greensboro
3.5

How Warnersville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Warnersville risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.95.9This tracttract 011500Greensboro: 3.23.2Greensboroparent cityCounty: 4.14.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 518Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 17.26%Avg annual filing rate
  • 16.6%Peak (2005)
  • 105Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2005 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 370810115002005: 128 filings (16.58/100 renter HHs)2013: 90 filings (16.13/100 renter HHs)2014: 95 filings (17.03/100 renter HHs)2015: 100 filings (17.92/100 renter HHs)2016: 105 filings (18.65/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 18% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Warnersville. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Warnersville

What moves this score most is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Greensboro eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Guilford County average of 5.5 and above the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 91st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 518 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 17.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 16.6% of renter households in 2005.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 37081011500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37081011500?

Census tract 37081011500 in the Warnersville neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37081011500?

Median gross rent is $965/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37081011500?

49.3% of residents in tract 37081011500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,790.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37081011500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 87th, minority 80th, housing 70th.
Q5

Is tract 37081011500 considered part of Warnersville?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37081011500 fall within Warnersville (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37081011500?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 518 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 37081011500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 17.26% of renter households, peaking at 16.6% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 37081011500 struggle to pay rent?

About 26.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 37081011500 compare to Greensboro overall?

Tract 37081011500 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Greensboro at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Greensboro eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 37081011500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 12% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Greensboro

Top eight tracts in Greensboro ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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